Betting round-up: Brazil heavy favourites to beat Australia

Paul Gough, Goal Australia's go-to man for betting tips, brings you the expert analysis ahead of the Socceroos' eagerly anticipated friendly away to the 2014 FIFA World Cup hosts

The Socceroos are set to start at one of their longest prices ever for their eagerly anticipated friendly against 2014 World Cup hosts Brazil on Sunday morning [AEST].

It will be the first time Australia has played the record five-time World Cup champions in Brazil and the first meeting between the nations since Brazil scored a 2-0 win over the Socceroos during the 2006 World Cup Finals in Germany.

Brazil also famously beat Australia 6-0 in the 1997 Confederations Cup Final but the Socceroos did score an upset 1-0 win over Brazil at the same tournament four years later.

But any chance Holger Osieck's team had of pulling off one of the biggest upsets in Socceroos' history appeared to end once their most prolific striker in Tim Cahill was ruled out of the game due to an ankle injury - sustained while playing for his American MLS team New York Red Bulls last weekend.

With Cahill out, the Socceroos have been all but written off by the bookmakers ahead of the clash - in which both teams will have their best [fit] players available as it coincides with an official break from club football for international matches.

Brazil are the dominant $1.16 favourites at bet365, with Australia priced at a massive $15, while even a draw is paying big odds at $7.

Australia faces Brazil at a time when the 2014 World Cup hosts are on the verge of returning to past glories.

With 2002 World Cup winning manager Luiz Felipe Scolari back in charge, Brazil returned to form in the recent Confederations Cup tournament held on home soil.

The once undisputed kings of world football had dropped to a record low FIFA ranking of 22 prior to the tournament - following a run of just two wins in eight friendly matches - but won every game at the Confederations Cup, including a stunning 3-0 demolition of reigning world champions Spain in the final.

Those results lifted Brazil back to number nine in the world rankings, well ahead of Australia at 46.

The Socceroos failed to win a game at the recent East Asian Cup - without their overseas based stars - but should perform much better against Brazil.

But without Cahill - who has scored 28 goals in 64 appearances for the Aussies - it's hard to see how Australia will score against Brazil and much will depend on Josh Kennedy, Robbie Kruse and Archie Thompson.


Back Brazil to beat Australia while keeping a clean sheet at odds of $1.66 at bet365.

Go for Brazil to win 2-0 in correct score betting at odds of $5.50 at bet365.

Brazil to win this game while keeping a clean sheet does look the best bet of the match at odds of $1.66 at bet365 while Brazil to win both halves also looks tempting at exactly even money odds of $2.

But the Socceroos will be competitive so in correct score betting only go for the home side to win 2-0 which is the favoured option at odds of $5.50 at bet365.

As for the first goal scorer market, Brazil's Barcelona based star Neymar - the recent player of the tournament at the Confederations Cup - is the $3.75 favourite at bet365 ahead of Alexandra Pato at $4.75 while EPL based stars Paulinho at $8 and Ramires at $11 could be value at odds.

In contrast the highest placed Aussies in betting in that market are Thompson and Kennedy at $21 while Kruse is at $26.

*Note prices subject to change

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