With all six of Botafogo's games this season seeing over 2.5 goals, Phil Kitromilides is backing another high-scoring affair against Paulo Roberto Falcao's men on Saturday nightHaving lost four of their last five home matches it could come as some surprise to find Botafogo as odds-on favourites to win this evening.
The team from Rio de Janeiro are priced at 4/7 (1.57) and despite their opponents Bahia failing to win away from home this season, the price seems a little short and should be avoided by those seeking value in this game.
Indeed, despite their failure to record a win on the road, the side from the north of the country have been tough to beat on their travels, earning a creditable draw at leaders Atletico Mineiro a few weeks back. Another deadlock is priced at 3/1 (4.00) and that could hold some value. Bahia meantime can be backed at 9/2 (5.50) to claim a victory.
Yet the outstanding bet for this match has to be backing over 2.5 goals at 4/6 (1.66). Botafogo have been in excellent scoring form, whilst looking a little susceptible at the back, as evidenced by the fact that all six of their matches this season have seen three or more goals.
Bahia, meanwhile, have conceded in each of their last seven matches, meaning a potent Botafogo strikeforce including in-form Argentine forward German Herrera will fancy their chances of netting at least a couple of goals.
Bahia, however, have scored in their last five games, and with Botafogo failing to keep a clean sheet this season, goals looks highly likely.
For a value bet, try backing over 4.5 goals at 4/1 (5.00). This bet has paid out in four of Botafogo's six matches this season, and with Bahia themselves scoring and conceding at will, another high-scoring affair could well be on the cards.
|Over 2.5 goals at 4/6 (1.66) with Bet365
Over 4.5 goals 4/1 (5.00) with Bet365
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Phil Kitromilides is a sports broadcaster working on radio and TV in London and Madrid, you can also follow Phil on Twitter